Combat Edge Intelligence

Tommy McMillen vs Yadier del Valle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record10-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
74"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Red Hawk AcademyTeamGracie Barra Westchase

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tommy McMillenNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Yadier del ValleNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.87
Sig. strikes / min
6.25
53%
Strike accuracy
67%
5.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
58%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
2.08
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
83%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
3.47

Trajectory

Tommy McMillenYadier del Valle
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (40%)
1 (10%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Tommy McMillen53%
Yadier del Valle 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tommy McMillen a 53% favorite over Yadier del Valle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1700), separated by just 3 points.

Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Tommy McMillen finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Yadier del Valle 60%.

Tommy McMillen carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.