Abus Magomedov vs Ateba Gautier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-7-1Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
78"Reach81"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abus MagomedovAteba Gautier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier60%
Abus Magomedov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 60% favorite over Abus Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1721), separated by just 3 points.
Ateba Gautier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Abus Magomedov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ateba Gautier 82%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.