Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Duraev vs Marco Tulio Silva Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Paraiba

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert DuraevNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
40%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
60%
Strike defense
58%
1.97
Takedown avg.
1.33
29%
Takedown accuracy
20%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Albert DuraevMarco Tulio Silva Costa
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
9 (56%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (25%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio Silva Costa63%
Albert Duraev 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio Silva Costa a 63% favorite over Albert Duraev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Albert Duraev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1676), separated by just 3 points.

Albert Duraev finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio Silva Costa 73%.

Albert Duraev and Marco Tulio Silva Costa share 1 common opponent: Roman Kopylov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Roman Kopylov
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2026