Attila Korkmaz vs Frank Lester
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-12-0Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
67"ReachTBD
164 lbsWeight170 lbs
IMAGTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Attila Korkmaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Frank Lester carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1540
If they lose-17→ 1508
If they win+17→ 1520
If they lose-15→ 1488
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Attila KorkmazFrank Lester
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Attila Korkmaz62%
Frank Lester 38%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Attila Korkmaz a 62% favorite over Frank Lester in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Attila Korkmaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1503, a 22-point edge.
Attila Korkmaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Attila Korkmaz finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Frank Lester 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.