Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Quarantillo vs Bogdan Grad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bogdan Grad
at

Bogdan Grad

“The Unleashed”

15-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gracie Tampa SouthTeamETTL Bros. MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Billy QuarantilloNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Bogdan GradNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.06
57%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.06
44%
Strike defense
49%
1.24
Takedown avg.
4.22
23%
Takedown accuracy
41%
61%
Takedown defense
75%
1.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Billy QuarantilloBogdan Grad
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
5 (28%)
Submission
3 (20%)
5 (28%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Grad66%
Billy Quarantillo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Grad a 66% favorite over Billy Quarantillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Billy Quarantillo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.

Billy Quarantillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bogdan Grad enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Billy Quarantillo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Bogdan Grad 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.