Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Elves Brener

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.30
40%
Strike defense
48%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1.23
2%
Takedown accuracy
24%
55%
Takedown defense
76%
2.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chase HooperElves Brener
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
8 (50%)
Submission
11 (69%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper60%
Elves Brener 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 60% favorite over Elves Brener in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elves Brener's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Elves Brener 88%.

Chase Hooper carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.