Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Gutierrez vs Jean Matsumoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-5-2Record18-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamInside Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris GutierrezNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Jean MatsumotoNow 1754
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
59%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.41
63%
Strike defense
48%
0.24
Takedown avg.
3
25%
Takedown accuracy
49%
70%
Takedown defense
56%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Chris GutierrezJean Matsumoto
17502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (33%)
12 (55%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean Matsumoto87%
Chris Gutierrez 13%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 87% favorite over Chris Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1754), separated by just 5 points.

Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Jean Matsumoto 50%.

Chris Gutierrez and Jean Matsumoto share 1 common opponent: Farid Basharat.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Farid Basharat
LossDecision (split) · 2026