Cj Vergara vs Stewart Nicoll
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-1Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
68" Reach65"
127 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamBroz Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cj VergaraStewart Nicoll
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stewart Nicoll63%
Cj Vergara 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Stewart Nicoll a 63% favorite over Cj Vergara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1605), separated by just 8 points.
Cj Vergara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Stewart Nicoll enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cj Vergara finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.
Cj Vergara carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.