Combat Edge Intelligence

David Branch vs Gregory Rodrigues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record19-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
42,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David BranchNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
Gregory RodriguesNow 1765
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-12→ 1753

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.66
Sig. strikes / min
5.53
40%
Strike accuracy
52%
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.78
57%
Strike defense
51%
2.55
Takedown avg.
1.90
33%
Takedown accuracy
16%
44%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

David BranchGregory Rodrigues
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
7 (32%)
Submission
3 (16%)
9 (41%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues76%
David Branch 24%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 76% favorite over David Branch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1759 vs 1765), separated by just 6 points.

David Branch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.

David Branch finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 79%.

David Branch and Gregory Rodrigues share 2 common opponents: Jack Hermansson and Jared Cannonier.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossSUB · 2019
Jack Hermansson
WinKO · 2025
LossKO/TKO · 2018
Jared Cannonier
LossTKO · 2025