Combat Edge Intelligence

Dione Barbosa vs Gabriella Fernandes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dione BarbosaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Gabriella FernandesNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
64%
Strike defense
52%
2.40
Takedown avg.
0.44
8%
Takedown accuracy
18%
64%
Takedown defense
69%
1.74
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Dione BarbosaGabriella Fernandes
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (44%)
Submission
3 (27%)
5 (56%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dione Barbosa and Gabriella Fernandes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Dione Barbosa finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Gabriella Fernandes 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.