Combat Edge Intelligence

Jai Herbert vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jai Herbert

Jai Herbert

“The Black Country Banger”

14-6-1LightweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renegade Jiu JitsuTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jai HerbertNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Terrance McKinneyNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
41%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
53%
Strike defense
43%
0.43
Takedown avg.
3.31
21%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Jai HerbertTerrance McKinney
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
9 (50%)
3 (21%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jai Herbert and Terrance McKinney within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1674), separated by just 0 points.

Jai Herbert finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Jai Herbert and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: Kyle Nelson.

Jai Herbert carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Kyle Nelson
WinTKO · 2026