Jared Cannonier vs Johny Hendricks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record18-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
77"Reach69,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Takedown
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1723 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierJohny Hendricks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Cannonier63%
Johny Hendricks 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 63% favorite over Johny Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.
Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Johny Hendricks 50%.
Jared Cannonier and Johny Hendricks share 1 common opponent: Kelvin Gastelum.
Jared Cannonier carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.