Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Cannonier vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record9-1-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MMA LabTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared CannonierNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
56%
Strike defense
46%
0.54
Takedown avg.
1.65
4%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Jared CannonierMansur Abdul-Malik
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (22%)
5 (28%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik71%
Jared Cannonier 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 71% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1710), separated by just 3 points.

Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.