Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Micallef vs Kaik Brito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaik Brito
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Kaik Brito

17-5-0WelterweightBlack Thai Team

1693Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record17-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Combat 1 MMATeamBlack Thai Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MicallefNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Kaik BritoNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
2.80
41%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
56%
Strike defense
55%
1.13
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
56%
1.13
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Jonathan MicallefKaik Brito
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
14 (82%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (18%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Micallef56%
Kaik Brito 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 56% favorite over Kaik Brito in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1693), separated by just 3 points.

Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Kaik Brito enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jonathan Micallef finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kaik Brito 100%.

Jonathan Micallef and Kaik Brito share 1 common opponent: Oban Elliott.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2026
Oban Elliott
Loss Decision · 2023