Jose Johnson vs Stewart Nicoll
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
6'0"Height5'5"
71"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Twin Wolves MMATeamBroz Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jose JohnsonStewart Nicoll
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stewart Nicoll53%
Jose Johnson 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stewart Nicoll a 53% favorite over Jose Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jose Johnson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1605), separated by just 3 points.
Jose Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stewart Nicoll enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jose Johnson finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.
Jose Johnson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.