Combat Edge Intelligence

Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Philipe Lins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Philipe Lins
br

Philipe Lins

“Monstro”

18-6-0Light HeavyweightMVP

1683Good

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record18-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khalil Rountree Jr.Now 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Philipe LinsNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
3.80
41%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.59
50%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
1.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
59%
Takedown defense
100%
0.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Khalil Rountree Jr.Philipe Lins
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (22%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Philipe Lins59%
Khalil Rountree Jr. 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Philipe Lins a 59% favorite over Khalil Rountree Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khalil Rountree Jr.'s way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1683), separated by just 2 points.

Khalil Rountree Jr. finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.

Khalil Rountree Jr. and Philipe Lins share 2 common opponents: Marcin Prachnio and Ion Cutelaba.

Philipe Lins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2019
Ion Cutelaba
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Marcin Prachnio
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022