Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiru Sahota vs Stewart Nicoll

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'5"
73"Reach65"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamBroz Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiru SahotaNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Stewart NicollNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
57%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.84
42%
Strike defense
50%
1
Takedown avg.
1.63
33%
Takedown accuracy
4%
50%
Takedown defense
29%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kiru SahotaStewart Nicoll
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (38%)
4 (33%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Stewart Nicoll52%
Kiru Sahota 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Stewart Nicoll a 52% favorite over Kiru Sahota in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiru Sahota's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1605), separated by just 4 points.

Kiru Sahota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stewart Nicoll enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kiru Sahota finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.

Kiru Sahota carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.