Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Riley vs Nathaniel Wood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-0-0 Record 23-6-0
Featherweight Division Featherweight
5'9" Height 5'6"
69" Reach 69"
145 lbs Weight 145 lbs
Next Generation MMA Liverpool Team Great Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke RileyNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723
Nathaniel WoodNow 1733
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-12→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

5.56
Sig. strikes / min
5.74
57%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
4.32
65%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
1.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
38%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Luke Riley Nathaniel Wood
1650 1700 1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (22%)
4 (31%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luke Riley and Nathaniel Wood within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1739 vs 1733), separated by just 6 points.

Luke Riley enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Luke Riley finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.