Combat Edge Intelligence

Lupita Godinez vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
61"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lupita GodinezNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.51
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
62%
Strike defense
62%
2.96
Takedown avg.
0.54
41%
Takedown accuracy
14%
82%
Takedown defense
62%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Lupita GodinezTecia Pennington
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (7%)
11 (79%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Lupita Godinez62%
Tecia Pennington 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 62% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1658), separated by just 10 points.

Lupita Godinez finishes 21% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Lupita Godinez and Tecia Pennington share 3 common opponents: Mackenzie Dern, Tabatha Ricci and Angela Hill.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (Split) · 2023
Tabatha Ricci
LossDecision - Split · 2024
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Mackenzie Dern
LossDecision (split) · 2022
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Angela Hill
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021