Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Choinski vs Roosevelt Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
N/AReach73"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
RoufusportTeamAdrenaline Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark ChoinskiNow 1640
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616
Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.18
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Mark ChoinskiRoosevelt Roberts
15501600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
5 (63%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Choinski60%
Roosevelt Roberts 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Choinski a 60% favorite over Roosevelt Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mark Choinski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Roosevelt Roberts 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.