Combat Edge Intelligence

Mayra Bueno Silva vs Montana De La Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-1Record13-10-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Mayra Bueno Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Montana De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mayra Bueno SilvaNow 1604
If they win+14→ 1618
If they lose-18→ 1586
Montana De La RosaNow 1571
If they win+18→ 1589
If they lose-14→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
57%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
52%
Strike defense
45%
0.51
Takedown avg.
1.85
24%
Takedown accuracy
0%
64%
Takedown defense
68%
1.33
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Mayra Bueno SilvaMontana De La Rosa
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
7 (70%)
Submission
8 (62%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Montana De La Rosa56%
Mayra Bueno Silva 44%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Montana De La Rosa a 56% favorite over Mayra Bueno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mayra Bueno Silva's way (45%).

Mayra Bueno Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1571, a 33-point edge.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mayra Bueno Silva finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Montana De La Rosa 69%.

Montana De La Rosa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.