Michael Chandler vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1772 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael ChandlerRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu57%
Michael Chandler 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 57% favorite over Michael Chandler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1734), separated by just 2 points.
Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rongzhu enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael Chandler finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.