Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelkrim Zouad vs Arijan Topallaj

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record10-2-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight163 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamPlanet Eater

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelkrim ZouadNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Arijan TopallajNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abdelkrim ZouadArijan Topallaj
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
4 (50%)
Submission
3 (30%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abdelkrim Zouad and Arijan Topallaj within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1651), separated by just 2 points.

Abdelkrim Zouad enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Arijan Topallaj 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.