Home Events UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE Predictions Upcoming Model record Fans vs model Make picks Card intelligence Find the fights that matter Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
All 14 Close 2 Split calls 3 Strong leans 5
Showing all 14 matchups.
Main card Main card predictions 6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Lightweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Model lean Model + Elo agree
42% Dan Hooker 58% Salahdine Parnasse
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 42% / 58%
Lightweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Model lean Model + Elo agree
59% Fares Ziam 41% Axel Sola
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 50.7% / 49.3%
Middleweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Model lean Model + Elo agree
69% Michael Page 31% Nursulton Ruziboev
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 64% / 36%
Welterweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Model lean 50/50 baseline
62% Daniil Donchenko 38% Punahele Soriano
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 50% / 50%
Featherweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Model lean Model + Elo agree
60% Kurtis Campbell 40% Trevor Peek
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 53% / 47%
Featherweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Close matchup Model + Elo agree
53% Losene Keita 47% Muhammad Naimov
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 58% / 42%
Prelims Prelims predictions 8 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Featherweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Strong model lean Model + Elo agree
25% Morgan Charrière 75% Felipe Lima
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 39% / 61%
Heavyweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Strong model lean Model + Elo agree
80% Mario Pinto 20% Ryan Spann
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 55% / 45%
Light Heavyweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Model lean Model / Elo split
64% Oumar Sy 36% Modestas Bukauskas
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 49% / 51%
Featherweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Strong model lean Model + Elo agree
73% Nathaniel Wood 27% Pavel Andrusca
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 57% / 43%
Strong model lean Model + Elo agree
78% Michael Aljarouj 22% Fabia Sintes
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 51% / 49%
Women's Bantamweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Model lean Model / Elo split
39% Nora Cornolle 61% Klaudia Syguła
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 50.6% / 49.4%
Middleweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Close matchup 50/50 baseline
49% Matthieu Duclos 51% Luis Felipe Dias
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 50% / 50%
Women's Strawweight v0.7-2026-08-28 Strong model lean Model / Elo split
15% Delphine Benouaich 85% Sofia Montenegro
Combat Edge win probability Elo alone: 51% / 49%
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