MMA fight predictions
Win probabilities for every bout on upcoming UFC cards, computed by the Combat Edge prediction model from point-in-time Elo ratings, records, and matchup data. Predictions are generated before fight night and frozen — what you see here is what gets graded on ouraccuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
ACA 206 : VAKHAEV VS ALIAKBARIAugust 15, 2026 · 1 bouts
UFC 330 : MAKHACHEV VS MACHADO GARRYAugust 15, 2026 · 13 bouts
Mackenzie Dern 40%60% Gillian RobertsonElo alone: 51% / 49%Rafael Tobias 50%50% Lucas FernandoElo alone: 51% / 49%Chidi Njokuani 34%66% Joel AlvarezElo alone: 47% / 53%Donte Johnson 75%25% Eric McConicoElo alone: 57% / 43%Vicente Luque 60%40% Tresean GoreElo alone: 67% / 33%Jeremiah Wells 23%77% Myktybek OrolbaiElo alone: 43% / 57%Mansur Abdul-Malik 86%14% Dustin StoltzfusElo alone: 60% / 40%Erin Blanchfield 72%28% Jasmine JasudaviciusElo alone: 57% / 43%Jalin Turner 40%60% Kauê FernandesElo alone: 52% / 48%Neil Magny 55%45% Ramiz BrahimajElo alone: 65% / 35%Geoff Neal 46%54% Chidi NjokuaniElo alone: 49% / 51%Islam Makhachev 50%50% Ian Machado GarryElo alone: 64% / 36%Edson Barboza 23%77% Esteban RibovicsElo alone: 43% / 57%
CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 2August 18, 2026 · 5 bouts
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HERNANDEZ VS RODRIGUESAugust 22, 2026 · 8 bouts
Anthony Hernandez 60%40% Gregory RodriguesElo alone: 46% / 54%Kody Steele 40%60% Gauge YoungElo alone: 52% / 48%Shanelle Dyer 79%21% Elise ReedElo alone: 61% / 39%Wes Schultz 40%60% Jackson McVeyElo alone: 50% / 50%Carli Judice 51%49% Jeisla ChavesElo alone: 46% / 54%Kennedy Nzechukwu 60%40% Shamil GazievElo alone: 47% / 53%Serghei Spivac 37%63% Vitor PetrinoElo alone: 46% / 54%Roman Dolidze 33%67% Reinier de RidderElo alone: 46% / 54%
PFL TAMPA : CYBORG VS VIEIRAAugust 22, 2026 · 12 bouts
Gino van Steenis 30%70% Robert WatleyElo alone: 35% / 65%Gadzhi Rabadanov 50%50% Jakub KaszubaElo alone: 54% / 46%Florim Zendeli 44%56% Omran ChaabanElo alone: 46% / 54%Natan Schulte 63%37% Makkasharip ZaynukovElo alone: 58% / 42%Dakota Bush 60%40% Morquez ForestElo alone: 57% / 43%Movsar Ibragimov 47%53% Javid BasharatElo alone: 43% / 57%Taila Santos 53%47% Sabrinna de SousaElo alone: 66% / 34%Magomed Magomedov 29%71% Daniel MarcosElo alone: 41% / 59%Eoin Sheridan 53%47% James VakeElo alone: 55% / 45%Luke Trainer 76%24% Roland DunlapElo alone: 62% / 38%Gustavo Oliveira 51%49% Marcirley AlvesElo alone: 52% / 48%Cris Cyborg 78%22% Ketlen VieiraElo alone: 74% / 26%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : NURMAGOMEDOV VS SONGAugust 29, 2026 · 9 bouts
Umar Nurmagomedov 63%37% Yadong SongElo alone: 60% / 40%Namsrai Batbayar 41%59% André LimaElo alone: 45% / 55%Jack Jenkins 41%59% Sean WoodsonElo alone: 43% / 57%Jingnan Xiong 40%60% Julia PolastriElo alone: 58% / 42%Sumudaerji 60%40% Alex PerezElo alone: 45% / 55%Ce Liu 50%50% Junior TafaElo alone: 48% / 52%Xiaonan Yan 30%70% Denise GomesElo alone: 53% / 47%Rei Tsuruya 77%23% Kevin BorjasElo alone: 63% / 37%Aoriqileng 25%75% Kai AsakuraElo alone: 36% / 64%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSESeptember 5, 2026 · 7 bouts
Matthieu Duclos 50%50% Luis Felipe DiasElo alone: 47% / 53%Nathaniel Wood 40%60% Mairon SantosElo alone: 47% / 53%Morgan Charrière 27%73% Felipe LimaElo alone: 39% / 61%Dan Hooker 24%76% Salahdine ParnasseElo alone: 42% / 58%Michael Page 62%38% Nursulton RuziboevElo alone: 64% / 36%Kurtis Campbell 70%30% Trevor PeekElo alone: 53% / 47%Mario Pinto 74%26% Ryan SpannElo alone: 54% / 46%
NOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVASeptember 12, 2026 · 10 bouts
David Martinez 92%8% Dan IgeElo alone: 61% / 39%Kelvin Gastelum 40%60% Yousri BelgarouiElo alone: 56% / 44%Brandon Moreno 55%45% Joseph MoralesElo alone: 55% / 45%Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70%30% Curtis BlaydesElo alone: 52% / 48%Yair Rodriguez 40%60% Jean SilvaElo alone: 55% / 45%Tommy McMillen 41%59% Marwan RahikiElo alone: 51% / 49%Ignacio Bahamondes 62%38% Muslim SalikhovElo alone: 42% / 58%Tim Elliott 50%50% Edgar CháirezElo alone: 49% / 51%JJ Aldrich 30%70% Regina TarinElo alone: 49% / 51%Manon Fiorot 57%43% Alexa GrassoElo alone: 56% / 44%
ZUFFA BOXING : GARCIA VS BENNSeptember 12, 2026 · 1 bouts
UFC 331 : VAN VS PANTOJA 2September 19, 2026 · 13 bouts
Michael Aswell Jr. 60%40% Joo Sang YooElo alone: 46% / 54%Joshua Van 73%27% Alexandre PantojaElo alone: 49% / 51%Arman Tsarukyan 67%33% Mauricio RuffyElo alone: 63% / 37%Patricio Pitbull 24%76% Doo Ho ChoiElo alone: 57% / 43%Giga Chikadze 12%88% Joanderson BritoElo alone: 38% / 62%Casey O'Neill 50%50% Eduarda MouraElo alone: 47% / 53%Alonzo Menifield 30%70% Iwo BaraniewskiElo alone: 52% / 48%Gable Steveson 76%24% Sean SharafElo alone: 59% / 41%Edmen Shahbazyan 62%38% Brunno FerreiraElo alone: 49% / 51%Ryan Gandra 79%21% Ozzy DiazElo alone: 60% / 40%Marlon Vera 30%70% Charles JourdainElo alone: 49% / 51%Renato Moicano 63%37% Brian OrtegaElo alone: 54% / 46%Tai Tuivasa 50%50% Robelis DespaigneElo alone: 48% / 52%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTTOctober 17, 2026 · 8 bouts
Tanner Boser 50%50% Jhonata DinizElo alone: 48% / 52%Jamey-Lyn Horth 60%40% Katlyn CerminaraElo alone: 40% / 60%Melissa Croden 60%40% Chelsea ChandlerElo alone: 55% / 45%Marc-André Barriault 17%83% Kyle DaukausElo alone: 39% / 61%Joaquin Buckley 40%60% Mike MalottElo alone: 49% / 51%Mandel Nallo 63%37% Nate LandwehrElo alone: 49% / 51%Erin Blanchfield 75%25% Jasmine JasudaviciusElo alone: 57% / 43%Louis Jourdain 30%70% Timmy CuambaElo alone: 44% / 56%