MMA fight predictions
Win probabilities for every bout on upcoming UFC cards, computed by the Combat Edge prediction model from point-in-time Elo ratings, records, and matchup data. Predictions are generated before fight night and frozen — what you see here is what gets graded on our accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : KAPE VS HORIGUCHI June 20, 2026 · 14 bouts
Vinicius Oliveira 77% 23% Andre Fili Elo alone: 61% / 39% Manel Kape 38% 62% Kyoji Horiguchi Elo alone: 37% / 63% Ion Cutelaba 23% 77% Navajo Stirling Elo alone: 42% / 58% Hyder Amil 42% 58% Christian Rodriguez Elo alone: 54% / 46% André Lima 67% 33% Kevin Borjas Elo alone: 67% / 33% Melsik Baghdasaryan 16% 84% Murtazali Magomedov Elo alone: 39% / 61% Beatriz Mesquita 67% 33% Melissa Mullins Elo alone: 56% / 44% Jhonata Diniz 67% 33% José Luiz Elo alone: 62% / 38% Allan Nascimento 67% 33% Mitch Raposo Elo alone: 56% / 44% Gaston Bolaños 16% 84% Michael Aswell Elo alone: 40% / 60% Karol Rosa 33% 67% Luana Santos Elo alone: 47% / 53% Andre Fili 23% 77% Vinicius Oliveira Elo alone: 39% / 61% Leon Shahbazyan 48% 52% Levan Chokheli Elo alone: 40% / 60% Shane Collins 67% 33% Otari Tanzilovi Elo alone: 51% / 49%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : FIZIEV VS TORRES June 27, 2026 · 12 bouts
Rafael Fiziev 38% 62% Manuel Torres Elo alone: 47% / 53% Bekzat Almakhan 28% 72% Jean Matsumoto Elo alone: 41% / 59% Shara Magomedov 67% 33% Michel Pereira Elo alone: 57% / 43% Nazim Sadykhov 64% 36% Matheus Camilo Elo alone: 60% / 40% Asu Almabayev 73% 27% Charles Johnson Elo alone: 59% / 41% Ikram Aliskerov 54% 46% Brunno Ferreira Elo alone: 54% / 46% Abus Magomedov 33% 67% Michał Oleksiejczuk Elo alone: 48% / 52% Farman Hasanov 67% 33% Eric Nolan Elo alone: 60% / 40% Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev 72% 28% Julius Walker Elo alone: 62% / 38% Nursulton Ruziboev 58% 42% Andrey Pulyaev Elo alone: 63% / 37% Daniil Donchenko 73% 27% Andreas Gustafsson Elo alone: 55% / 45% Kaan Ofli 36% 64% Javier Reyes Elo alone: 45% / 55%
PFL SAN DIEGO : MCKEE VS ISBULAEV June 27, 2026 · 10 bouts
Khasan Magomedsharipov 71% 29% Joshua Weems Elo alone: 61% / 39% Cobey Fehr 72% 28% Daniel Bzdigian Elo alone: 61% / 39% Shannon Clark 72% 28% Ilara Joanne Elo alone: 63% / 37% Gamid Khizriev 48% 52% Lorenzo Parente Elo alone: 50% / 50% Justin Wetzell 29% 71% Sarvarjon Khamidov Elo alone: 42% / 58% Ariane Lipski da Silva 50% 50% Jena Bishop Elo alone: 50% / 50% Abraham Bably 34% 66% Rob Wilkinson Elo alone: 43% / 57% Liz Carmouche 65% 35% Viviane Araujo Elo alone: 64% / 36% Alexander Shabliy 67% 33% Alfie Davis Elo alone: 61% / 39% AJ McKee Jr. 67% 33% Salamat Isbulaev Elo alone: 65% / 35%
UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2 July 11, 2026 · 12 bouts
Cody Garbrandt 38% 62% Adrian Yanez Elo alone: 50% / 50% Conor McGregor 36% 64% Max Holloway Elo alone: 46% / 54% Paddy Pimblett 46% 54% Benoit Saint-Denis Elo alone: 49% / 51% Cory Sandhagen 36% 64% Mario Bautista Elo alone: 49% / 51% Brandon Royval 36% 64% Lone’er Kavanagh Elo alone: 51% / 49% Gable Steveson 64% 36% Elisha Ellison Elo alone: 52% / 48% Robert Whittaker 37% 63% Nikita Krylov Elo alone: 55% / 45% Tracy Cortez 38% 62% Cong Wang Elo alone: 49% / 51% Damian Pinas 73% 27% César Almeida Elo alone: 54% / 46% Luke Riley 73% 27% Kai Kamaka III Elo alone: 59% / 41% Ryan Gandra 53% 47% Zach Reese Elo alone: 51% / 49% Ode Osbourne 38% 62% Cody Durden Elo alone: 44% / 56%
PFL AUSTIN : EBLEN VS KASANGANAY 2 July 18, 2026 · 5 bouts
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ANKALAEV VS ROUNTREE JR. July 25, 2026 · 9 bouts
Magomed Ankalaev 84% 16% Khalil Rountree Jr. Elo alone: 70% / 30% Umar Nurmagomedov 52% 48% David Martinez Elo alone: 59% / 41% Rizvan Kuniev 40% 60% Tyrell Fortune Elo alone: 47% / 53% Valter Walker 75% 25% Thomas Petersen Elo alone: 65% / 35% Magomed Tuchalov 73% 27% Brendson Ribeiro Elo alone: 61% / 39% Steve Erceg 62% 38% Ramazan Temirov Elo alone: 47% / 53% Islam Dulatov 84% 16% Wellington Turman Elo alone: 65% / 35% Ismael Bonfim 36% 64% Axel Sola Elo alone: 49% / 51% Uran Satybaldiev 50% 50% Dustin Jacoby Elo alone: 46% / 54%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MEDIC VS RODRIGUEZ August 1, 2026 · 9 bouts
Jovan Leka 84% 16% Max Gimenis Elo alone: 63% / 37% Vlasto Čepo 67% 33% Gilbert Urbina Elo alone: 62% / 38% Duško Todorović 46% 54% Robert Valentin Elo alone: 54% / 46% Aleksandar Rakić 36% 64% Marcin Tybura Elo alone: 44% / 56% Uros Medic 63% 37% Daniel Rodriguez Elo alone: 44% / 56% Ľudovít Klein 71% 29% Tofiq Musayev Elo alone: 56% / 44% Mark Vologdin 54% 46% Josias Musasa Elo alone: 52% / 48% Dennis Buzukja 48% 52% Bogdan Grad Elo alone: 42% / 58% Ante Delija 50% 50% Johnny Walker Elo alone: 57% / 43%