Combat Edge Model

MMA fight predictions

Win probabilities for every bout on upcoming UFC cards, computed from point-in-time Elo ratings, records, and matchup data. Every forecast is frozen before fight night and graded publicly on our accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

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LFA 242 : LOZEJ VS BITTENCOURT

September 18, 2026 · 12 model forecasts · choose a matchup for the full evidence.

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KSW 121 : VOJCAK VS WOJCIKSeptember 19, 2026 · 9 bouts
Muslim Tulshaev 68%32% Kacper KoziorzębskiElo alone: 60% / 40%Leo Brichta 45%55% Kacper FormelaElo alone: 43% / 57%Łukasz Charzewski 63%37% Josef ŠtummerElo alone: 63% / 37%Michał Michalski 45%55% Radosław PaczuskiElo alone: 51% / 49%Štefan Vojčák 62%38% Marcin WójcikElo alone: 51% / 49%Tagir Machmudov 67%33% Szymon KasprzyńskiElo alone: 49% / 51%Hanka Gelnarová 59%41% Małgorzata PopowiczElo alone: 53% / 47%Adrian Dudek 39%61% Borys DzikowskiElo alone: 59% / 41%Samuel Bily 46%54% Dominik ZadoraElo alone: 50% / 50%
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UFC 331 : VAN VS PANTOJA 2September 19, 2026 · 13 bouts
Joshua Van 72%28% Alexandre PantojaElo alone: 49% / 51%Tai Tuivasa 47%53% Robelis DespaigneElo alone: 48% / 52%Renato Moicano 60%40% Brian OrtegaElo alone: 54% / 46%Marlon Vera 30%70% Charles JourdainElo alone: 49% / 51%Arman Tsarukyan 75%25% Mauricio RuffyElo alone: 63% / 37%Alonzo Menifield 39%61% Iwo BaraniewskiElo alone: 52% / 48%Michael Aswell Jr. 50%50% Joo Sang YooElo alone: 46% / 54%Casey O'Neill 47%53% Eduarda MouraElo alone: 46% / 54%Gable Steveson 76%24% Sean SharafElo alone: 59% / 41%Giga Chikadze 26%74% Joanderson BritoElo alone: 38% / 62%Patricio Pitbull 29%71% Doo Ho ChoiElo alone: 58% / 42%Edmen Shahbazyan 67%33% Brunno FerreiraElo alone: 49% / 51%Ryan Gandra 77%23% Ozzy DiazElo alone: 60% / 40%
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CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7September 22, 2026 · 5 bouts
Alvi Dasuyev 67%33% Jaden OrtegaElo alone: 61% / 39%Damian Piwowarczyk 73%27% Emilio QuissuaElo alone: 46% / 54%Norbert Novenyi Jr. 68%32% Theo HaigElo alone: 58% / 42%Piero Guaylupo 87%13% Callum ConnorElo alone: 58% / 42%Paris Moran 16%84% Marcos DegliElo alone: 46% / 54%
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ARES FC 43 : O'CONNOR VS DIATTASeptember 25, 2026 · 9 bouts
Brad Jean-Elie 32%68% Danylo KartavyiElo alone: 50% / 50%Josh O'Connor 67%33% Fabacary DiattaElo alone: 58% / 42%Alexis Nicolas 49%51% Ilyasse DraboElo alone: 54% / 46%Vincent Yerly 52%48% Jan ŠťastnýElo alone: 56% / 44%William Loussala 47%53% Kevin TchoupaElo alone: 55% / 45%Vincent Yerly 40%60% Matěj DaněkElo alone: 46% / 54%Wael Kambouche 42%58% Ulysse NdongElo alone: 51% / 49%Dylan Antoine 27%73% Anuj AnujElo alone: 43% / 57%Akhmed Amaev 63%37% Luke ShanksElo alone: 57% / 43%
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UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS September 26, 2026 · 11 bouts
Melissa Amaya 52%48% Tina BlackElo alone: 50% / 50%Mehemmedeli Osmanli 65%35% Ilimbek Akylbek UuluElo alone: 62% / 38%Montel Jackson 63%37% Ricky SimónElo alone: 51% / 49%Rodolfo Bellato 66%34% Christian EdwardsElo alone: 65% / 35%Rodolfo Vieira 59%41% Robert BryczekElo alone: 48% / 52%Brady Hiestand 44%56% Rinya NakamuraElo alone: 43% / 57%John Castañeda 78%22% AlatengheiliElo alone: 62% / 38%Josiah Harrell 43%57% Elves BrenerElo alone: 56% / 44%Norma Dumont 39%61% Ailín PérezElo alone: 50% / 50%Vanessa Demopoulos 16%84% Yazmin JaureguiElo alone: 36% / 64%Raul Rosas Jr. 66%34% Raoni BarcelosElo alone: 45% / 55%
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PFL MENA 11 : RIYADHOctober 2, 2026 · 6 bouts
Ylies Djiroun 56%44% Basel ShalaanElo alone: 61% / 39%Badreddine Diani 72%28% Hazem KayyaliElo alone: 53% / 47%Hamza Kooheji 45%55% Elias BoudegzdameElo alone: 53% / 47%Omar Hussein 66%34% Abdelkrim ZouadElo alone: 39% / 61%Mehdi Saadi 62%38% Shadi KabbaniElo alone: 48% / 52%Mohammad Fahmi 71%29% Ahmed El SisyElo alone: 43% / 57%
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UFC 332 : SILVA VS WANGOctober 3, 2026 · 12 bouts
Natália Silva 57%43% Cong WangElo alone: 56% / 44%Deiveson Figueiredo 26%74% Payton TalbottElo alone: 53% / 47%Khaos Williams 66%34% Roberto SoldićElo alone: 47% / 53%Ateba Gautier 70%30% Roman KopylovElo alone: 53% / 47%Imanol Rodriguez 53%47% Alden CoriaElo alone: 51% / 49%Damian Pinas 71%29% Andrey PulyaevElo alone: 64% / 36%Marcus McGhee 46%54% Benardo SopajElo alone: 53% / 47%King Green 41%59% Esteban RibovicsElo alone: 47% / 53%Johnny Walker 37%63% Mick ParkinElo alone: 43% / 57%Rafael dos Anjos 30%70% Alexander HernandezElo alone: 49% / 51%Marvin Vettori 48%52% Ismail NaurdievElo alone: 53% / 47%Court McGee 54%46% Eric NolanElo alone: 59% / 41%
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PFL AFRICA 3 MOROCCO : KANE VS MEDKOURIOctober 10, 2026 · 7 bouts
Demba Seck 77%23% Hussain Al KurdiElo alone: 60% / 40%Rivaldo Pereira 68%32% David SamuelElo alone: 38% / 62%Abdoulaye Kane 76%24% Badr MedkouriElo alone: 43% / 57%Karim Henniene 41%59% Raphael UchegbuElo alone: 46% / 54%Shido Boris Esperança 76%24% Peace NguphaneElo alone: 56% / 44%Patrick Ocheme 34%66% Cornel ThompsonElo alone: 55% / 45%Dwight Joseph 67%33% Boule GodogoElo alone: 66% / 34%
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UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCANOctober 10, 2026 · 1 bouts
Brendan Allen 51%49% Christian Leroy DuncanElo alone: 58% / 42%
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PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2October 16, 2026 · 7 bouts
Liz Carmouche 49%51% Jena BishopElo alone: 60% / 40%Timur Khizriev 55%45% Gabriel BragaElo alone: 57% / 43%Denis Goltsov 63%37% Maxwell Djantou NanaElo alone: 69% / 31%Alexander Shabliy 64%36% Landry WardElo alone: 71% / 29%Sarvarjon Khamidov 67%33% Rafael do NascimentoElo alone: 62% / 38%Emiliano Sordi 42%58% Abraham BablyElo alone: 51% / 49%Shannon Clark 66%34% Lucero AcostaElo alone: 58% / 42%
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UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTTOctober 17, 2026 · 8 bouts
Mandel Nallo 49%51% Nate LandwehrElo alone: 49% / 51%Marc-André Barriault 27%73% Kyle DaukausElo alone: 39% / 61%Melissa Croden 58%42% Chelsea ChandlerElo alone: 55% / 45%Tanner Boser 42%58% Jhonata DinizElo alone: 48% / 52%Chad Anheliger 41%59% Steven KoslowElo alone: 54% / 46%Jamey-Lyn Horth 57%43% Katlyn CerminaraElo alone: 42% / 58%Javad Mahjoub 18%82% Louie SutherlandElo alone: 54% / 46%Erin Blanchfield 70%30% Jasmine JasudaviciusElo alone: 57% / 43%
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