MMA fight predictions
Win probabilities for every bout on upcoming UFC cards, computed by the Combat Edge prediction model from point-in-time Elo ratings, records, and matchup data. Predictions are generated before fight night and frozen — what you see here is what gets graded on ouraccuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MEDIC VS RODRIGUEZAugust 1, 2026 · 18 bouts
Jovan Leka 53%47% Alexander PoppeckElo alone: 48% / 52%Vlasto Čepo 66%34% Gilbert UrbinaElo alone: 62% / 38%Aleksandar Rakić 40%60% Marcin TyburaElo alone: 44% / 56%Duško Todorović 47%53% Robert ValentinElo alone: 54% / 46%Borislav Nikolić 62%38% Mark VologdinElo alone: 58% / 42%Ľudovít Klein 72%28% Tofiq MusayevElo alone: 56% / 44%Miloš Janičić 61%39% Noah GugnonElo alone: 58% / 42%Dennis Buzukja 48%52% Bogdan GradElo alone: 41% / 59%Marina Spasić 60%40% Stephanie LucianoElo alone: 52% / 48%Jan Błachowicz 28%72% Navajo StirlingElo alone: 52% / 48%Oban Elliott 39%61% Michael OliveiraElo alone: 44% / 56%Nina Milošević 73%27% Hailey CowanElo alone: 65% / 35%Uros Medic 70%30% Daniel RodriguezElo alone: 44% / 56%Mateusz Rębecki 88%12% Kyle PrepolecElo alone: 70% / 30%Ante Delija 59%41% Johnny WalkerElo alone: 57% / 43%Jan Błachowicz 29%71% Bogdan GuskovElo alone: 52% / 48%Jovan Leka 76%24% Max GimenisElo alone: 63% / 37%Mark Vologdin 60%40% Josias MusasaElo alone: 52% / 48%
PFL CHARLOTTE : BATTLE VS ROSTAAugust 7, 2026 · 12 bouts
Trukon Carson 40%60% Trey WatersElo alone: 41% / 59%Josh Fremd 54%46% Jhony GregoryElo alone: 57% / 43%Cheyden Leialoha 50%50% Robbie RingElo alone: 47% / 53%Cheyanne Bowers 50%50% Elora DanaElo alone: 47% / 53%Eduardo Neves 56%44% Maxwell Djantou NanaElo alone: 47% / 53%Lewis McGrillen 73%27% Brandon LewisElo alone: 60% / 40%Denis Goltsov 55%45% Hasan MezhievElo alone: 58% / 42%Michael Boylan 60%40% Landry WardElo alone: 52% / 48%Valentin Moldavsky 72%28% Bruno CappelozzaElo alone: 59% / 41%Jonathan Martin 40%60% Wilson LopshireElo alone: 43% / 57%Josh Silveira 55%45% Aaron JefferyElo alone: 50% / 50%Bryan Battle 60%40% Dalton RostaElo alone: 56% / 44%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : GAMROT VS SALKILLDAugust 8, 2026 · 9 bouts
Ty Miller 66%34% Billy Ray GoffElo alone: 53% / 47%Diyar Nurgozhay 66%34% Bruno LopesElo alone: 55% / 45%Diego Ferreira 63%37% Billy QuarantilloElo alone: 57% / 43%Louie Sutherland 53%47% José MontanhaElo alone: 53% / 47%Steven Asplund 57%43% Guilherme PatElo alone: 50% / 50%Amanda Lemos 13%87% Alexia ThainaraElo alone: 43% / 57%Mateusz Gamrot 29%71% Quillan SalkilldElo alone: 59% / 41%Juliana Miller 50%50% Ravena OliveiraElo alone: 43% / 57%Darren Elkins 27%73% Yadier del ValleElo alone: 50% / 50%
CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 1August 11, 2026 · 5 bouts
UFC 330 : MAKHACHEV VS MACHADO GARRYAugust 15, 2026 · 10 bouts
Islam Makhachev 50%50% Ian Machado GarryElo alone: 63% / 37%Neil Magny 55%45% Ramiz BrahimajElo alone: 65% / 35%Edson Barboza 23%77% Esteban RibovicsElo alone: 43% / 57%Geoff Neal 46%54% Chidi NjokuaniElo alone: 49% / 51%Jalin Turner 40%60% Kauê FernandesElo alone: 52% / 48%Mackenzie Dern 40%60% Gillian RobertsonElo alone: 51% / 49%Mansur Abdul-Malik 86%14% Dustin StoltzfusElo alone: 60% / 40%Jeremiah Wells 23%77% Myktybek OrolbaiElo alone: 43% / 57%Vicente Luque 60%40% Tresean GoreElo alone: 67% / 33%Erin Blanchfield 72%28% Jasmine JasudaviciusElo alone: 57% / 43%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HERNANDEZ VS RODRIGUESAugust 22, 2026 · 8 bouts
Roman Dolidze 33%67% Reinier de RidderElo alone: 46% / 54%Serghei Spivac 37%63% Vitor PetrinoElo alone: 46% / 54%Kody Steele 40%60% Gauge YoungElo alone: 52% / 48%Kennedy Nzechukwu 60%40% Shamil GazievElo alone: 47% / 53%Anthony Hernandez 60%40% Gregory RodriguesElo alone: 46% / 54%Shanelle Dyer 79%21% Elise ReedElo alone: 61% / 39%Wes Schultz 40%60% Jackson McVeyElo alone: 50% / 50%Carli Judice 51%49% Jeisla ChavesElo alone: 46% / 54%
PFL TAMPA : CYBORG VS VIEIRAAugust 22, 2026 · 4 bouts
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : NURMAGOMEDOV VS SONGAugust 29, 2026 · 6 bouts
Sumudaerji 60%40% Alex PerezElo alone: 45% / 55%Umar Nurmagomedov 63%37% Yadong SongElo alone: 60% / 40%Aoriqileng 25%75% Kai AsakuraElo alone: 36% / 64%Ce Liu 50%50% Junior TafaElo alone: 48% / 52%Rei Tsuruya 77%23% Kevin BorjasElo alone: 63% / 37%Xiaonan Yan 30%70% Denise GomesElo alone: 53% / 47%