Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Aleksandr Grozin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record25-7-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
Aleksandr GrozinNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
2.32
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyAleksandr Grozin
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
2 (13%)
Submission
3 (12%)
6 (38%)
Decision
16 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady and Aleksandr Grozin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Aleksandr Grozin 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.