Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Cullen vs Alexander Matmuratov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'6"
-Reach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam CullenNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Alexander MatmuratovNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adam CullenAlexander Matmuratov
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (17%)
Decision
12 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Cullen60%
Alexander Matmuratov 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Cullen a 60% favorite over Alexander Matmuratov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1638), separated by just 0 points.

Adam Cullen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Adam Cullen finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Alexander Matmuratov 37%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.