Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Tomáš Mudroch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'2"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamFighting Club Ostrava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Tomáš MudrochNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyTomáš Mudroch
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Mudroch51%
Ahmed El Sisy 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Mudroch a 51% favorite over Ahmed El Sisy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahmed El Sisy's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Mudroch 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.