Alan Philpott vs Ryan Hickey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-18-0Record0-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach-
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
IMMATeamPathway Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Alan Philpott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ryan Hickey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1502
If they lose-13→ 1478
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PhilpottRyan Hickey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Hickey70%
Alan Philpott 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 70% favorite over Alan Philpott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alan Philpott's way (47%).
Alan Philpott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1471, a 20-point edge.
Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.