Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Damon Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
-Reach 71"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
Raty TeamTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Damon JacksonNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinDamon Jackson
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (12%)
Submission
15 (65%)
16 (64%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin64%
Damon Jackson 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 64% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Damon Jackson 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.