Alexander Shlemenko vs Antônio Carlos Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
68-17-1Record18-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
70"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander ShlemenkoAntônio Carlos Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio Carlos Jr.63%
Alexander Shlemenko 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio Carlos Jr. a 63% favorite over Alexander Shlemenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Shlemenko's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1747), separated by just 3 points.
Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexander Shlemenko finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Antônio Carlos Jr. 67%.
Antônio Carlos Jr. carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.