Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Treskin vs Badreddine Diani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'1"
-Reach73"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty TeamTeamRebels Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TreskinNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Badreddine DianiNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander TreskinBadreddine Diani
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (18%)
4 (36%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Treskin and Badreddine Diani within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Badreddine Diani 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.