Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Treskin vs Niko Price

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
us

Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach76"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty TeamTeamFutures MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TreskinNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Niko PriceNow 1624
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.61
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
28%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Alexander TreskinNiko Price
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (19%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Treskin56%
Niko Price 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Treskin a 56% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.