Combat Edge Intelligence

Almir Augusto vs Josias Musasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josias Musasa
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Josias Musasa

“The K.O. Wizard”

8-2-0BantamweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach74"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamElite Training Center - Lubumbashi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Almir AugustoNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
Josias MusasaNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.90
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
81%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Almir AugustoJosias Musasa
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
1 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Almir Augusto73%
Josias Musasa 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Almir Augusto a 73% favorite over Josias Musasa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josias Musasa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Almir Augusto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Almir Augusto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josias Musasa 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.