Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreeas Binder vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreeas BinderNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
62%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.86

Trajectory

Andreeas BinderJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
2 (17%)
Submission
5 (45%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andreeas Binder and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1683), separated by just 4 points.

Andreeas Binder enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Andreeas Binder finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.