Andreeas Binder vs Trey Waters
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'5"
-Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamLudus MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andreeas BinderTrey Waters
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trey Waters53%
Andreeas Binder 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 53% favorite over Andreeas Binder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andreeas Binder's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1679), separated by just 0 points.
Andreeas Binder enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Andreeas Binder finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.