Combat Edge Intelligence

César Almeida vs Yahaya Yahuza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'8"
74"Reach69"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Lotus MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

César AlmeidaNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Yahaya YahuzaNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.46
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
52%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.21
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

César AlmeidaYahaya Yahuza
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Yahaya Yahuza51%
César Almeida 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Yahaya Yahuza a 51% favorite over César Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans César Almeida's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1624), separated by just 4 points.

César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Yahaya Yahuza 50%.

César Almeida carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.