Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Janikowski vs Marcio Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
NemesisTeamBonfim Brothers

What's at stake

Damian Janikowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcio Cabral carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damian JanikowskiNow 1521
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-17→ 1504
Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+26→ 1525
If they lose-22→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Damian JanikowskiMarcio Cabral
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral66%
Damian Janikowski 34%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 66% favorite over Damian Janikowski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damian Janikowski's way (47%).

Damian Janikowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1499, a 22-point edge.

Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.