Dan Argueta vs Daniel Araújo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBonfim Brothers
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaDaniel Araújo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Araújo82%
Dan Argueta 18%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Araújo a 82% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Araújo 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.