Dan Argueta vs Jessie Rosas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaJessie Rosas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jessie Rosas60%
Dan Argueta 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jessie Rosas a 60% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Argueta's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jessie Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jessie Rosas 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.