Combat Edge Intelligence

Davlet Karataev vs Yohan Lainesse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
69"Reach76"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Spitfire Gym BerlinTeamBrazilian Top Team Canada

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davlet KarataevNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Yohan LainesseNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Davlet KarataevYohan Lainesse
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Davlet Karataev51%
Yohan Lainesse 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Davlet Karataev a 51% favorite over Yohan Lainesse in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yohan Lainesse's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Yohan Lainesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Yohan Lainesse 64%.

Yohan Lainesse carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.