Combat Edge Intelligence

Dean Garnett vs Jessie Rosas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-1Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
64"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team McHaleTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jessie RosasNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dean GarnettJessie Rosas
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (57%)
5 (33%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessie Rosas60%
Dean Garnett 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessie Rosas a 60% favorite over Dean Garnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.

Jessie Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dean Garnett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jessie Rosas 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.