Denis Silva vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamWestside MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denis SilvaTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denis Silva63%
TJ Brown 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Denis Silva a 63% favorite over TJ Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans TJ Brown's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Denis Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.