Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Kielholtz vs Ramana Toscanelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record5-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
66"Reach-
124 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sports Academy SchreiberTeamBonfim Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denise KielholtzNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Ramana ToscanelliNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Denise KielholtzRamana Toscanelli
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
3 (33%)
Submission
4 (80%)
4 (44%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Denise Kielholtz73%
Ramana Toscanelli 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Denise Kielholtz a 73% favorite over Ramana Toscanelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1559), separated by just 4 points.

Ramana Toscanelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denise Kielholtz finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ramana Toscanelli 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.