Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Santos vs Gabriella Carbone

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record0-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team 360mmaTeamMMA Barcelona Team

What's at stake

Diego Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Carbone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego SantosNow 1449
If they win+15→ 1464
If they lose-17→ 1432
Gabriella CarboneNow 1424
If they win+26→ 1450
If they lose-22→ 1402

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego SantosGabriella Carbone
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Santos76%
Gabriella Carbone 24%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Santos a 76% favorite over Gabriella Carbone in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Diego Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1424, a 25-point edge.

Gabriella Carbone enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diego Santos finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.