Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Santos vs Giovanni Fernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record3-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
Team 360mmaTeamPythagore Academy Cognac

What's at stake

Diego Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego SantosNow 1449
If they win+15→ 1464
If they lose-17→ 1432
Giovanni FernandezNow 1426
If they win+26→ 1452
If they lose-22→ 1404

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego SantosGiovanni Fernandez
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (67%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Santos76%
Giovanni Fernandez 24%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Santos a 76% favorite over Giovanni Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Diego Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1426, a 23-point edge.

Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Diego Santos finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Giovanni Fernandez 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.