Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Rodrigues vs Julien Leblanc

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamPatenaude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas RodriguesNow 1617
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
Julien LeblancNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Douglas RodriguesJulien Leblanc
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (14%)
Submission
4 (40%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Rodrigues55%
Julien Leblanc 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 55% favorite over Julien Leblanc in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julien Leblanc's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1619), separated by just 2 points.

Douglas Rodrigues enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Julien Leblanc 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.