Combat Edge Intelligence

Dylan Smerillo vs Jesus Gutierrez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-4-0Record8-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
3sotericTeamBonebreakers MMA

What's at stake

Dylan Smerillo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jesus Gutierrez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dylan SmerilloNow 1536
If they win+21→ 1557
If they lose-27→ 1509
Jesus GutierrezNow 1488
If they win+18→ 1506
If they lose-14→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dylan SmerilloJesus Gutierrez
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
4 (80%)
Submission
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Dylan Smerillo79%
Jesus Gutierrez 21%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Smerillo a 79% favorite over Jesus Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Dylan Smerillo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1536 to 1488, a 48-point edge.

Jesus Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dylan Smerillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Gutierrez 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.