Edson Machavane vs Roman Paulus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Creonte BJJ GymTeamSpartakus Fight Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson MachavaneRoman Paulus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Paulus80%
Edson Machavane 20%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Paulus a 80% favorite over Edson Machavane in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edson Machavane's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.
Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.