Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Boudegzdame vs Koji Takeda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight156 lbs
La Bonne EcoleTeamTribe Tokyo MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias BoudegzdameNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Koji TakedaNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elias BoudegzdameKoji Takeda
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
18 (86%)
Submission
6 (32%)
1 (5%)
Decision
11 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Koji Takeda51%
Elias Boudegzdame 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 51% favorite over Elias Boudegzdame in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Boudegzdame's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Elias Boudegzdame enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Elias Boudegzdame finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Koji Takeda 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.